Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 8.871732e-05 0.000105 0.000123 0.000142 0.000164 0.000188 0.000215
2025-01-26 6.411262e-05 0.000085 0.000108 0.000137 0.000170 0.000207 0.000251
2025-02-02 5.366985e-05 0.000076 0.000104 0.000138 0.000179 0.000226 0.000284
2025-02-09 4.389158e-05 0.000068 0.000098 0.000137 0.000185 0.000242 0.000314
2025-02-16 3.920539e-05 0.000064 0.000097 0.000141 0.000197 0.000265 0.000350
2025-02-23 3.385911e-05 0.000060 0.000095 0.000143 0.000205 0.000282 0.000380
2025-03-02 2.729784e-05 0.000052 0.000087 0.000137 0.000204 0.000287 0.000395
2025-03-09 2.248460e-05 0.000047 0.000082 0.000134 0.000205 0.000295 0.000414
2025-03-16 1.911441e-05 0.000043 0.000079 0.000133 0.000209 0.000306 0.000436
2025-03-23 1.667296e-05 0.000040 0.000077 0.000134 0.000215 0.000320 0.000463
2025-03-30 1.407715e-05 0.000037 0.000074 0.000133 0.000218 0.000330 0.000483
2025-04-06 1.138568e-05 0.000033 0.000069 0.000129 0.000217 0.000335 0.000497
2025-04-13 9.773705e-06 0.000031 0.000068 0.000131 0.000226 0.000353 0.000531
2025-04-20 7.233294e-06 0.000026 0.000063 0.000126 0.000223 0.000356 0.000545
2025-04-27 6.031351e-06 0.000024 0.000061 0.000127 0.000230 0.000372 0.000575
2025-05-04 4.772043e-06 0.000022 0.000059 0.000126 0.000233 0.000384 0.000600
2025-05-11 4.256912e-06 0.000021 0.000059 0.000130 0.000244 0.000406 0.000640
2025-05-18 3.525490e-06 0.000020 0.000058 0.000132 0.000251 0.000422 0.000671
2025-05-25 2.443268e-06 0.000017 0.000054 0.000127 0.000248 0.000424 0.000682
2025-06-01 1.739362e-06 0.000015 0.000050 0.000124 0.000247 0.000430 0.000700
2025-06-08 1.291575e-06 0.000014 0.000049 0.000123 0.000250 0.000440 0.000723
2025-06-15 1.003398e-06 0.000013 0.000048 0.000124 0.000256 0.000455 0.000753
2025-06-22 7.010928e-07 0.000011 0.000046 0.000122 0.000258 0.000464 0.000775